The Forecasting Systems Letter 
Jeffrey Mishlove

Vol. 1, # 1
Sunday, October 13, 2002

Allow me to introduce myself - little by little.  Tonight, for the first time, it occurred to me to create a newsletter in which I can share the forecasts that I am developing through both analytical and intuitive methods.  Of course, the explanation behind all of this will take some time to present as my life is very full.  Ideally, I will publish this letter on a daily basis -- however, as I am just beginning today (and this project is not funded), I can already foresee that other events, such as travel and business interests, will intervene from time to time. 

So, this newsletter will occasionally be intermittent -- at least until circumstances in my busy life arrange themselves otherwise.  If this project turns out to be of little value to either myself or others, it will probably die a quiet death.  If, on the other hand, the insights and forecasts provided herein prove to be of sufficient merit to put this project on a businesslike footing, then it will continue.  This current test will run for ninety days. 

Over time, this letter will cover a variety of forecasting approaches: neural networks, technical analysis, fundamental analysis, associative remote viewing and other intuitive approaches. 

To begin with, the neural network forecast posted below was created using a program called Profit written by BioComp Systems. I have been working extensively with this program since March of 1999. And I regard it as one of the most effective tools available for end-of-day market forecasting. The results shown below are produced by a "mega-system" that contains the votes of over a dozen unique, neural network systems. Each of these contains the votes of over 100 neural network models. I believe that these forecasts are about 60% accurate, overall. 

Each day, I generate a forecast for the following two days. 

More will follow in the days and weeks to come. 

Jeffrey 
 

Neural Network S&P 500 Index Forecast: 
Monday: negative 
Tuesday: negative 

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